A few weeks ago, the 2014 Ohio gubernatorial race looked like a fairly simple affair.
John Kasich, the incumbent Republican, was set to face off in the fall with a Democrat, Cuyahoga County Executive Ed FitzGerald.
The conventional wisdom was that Kasich was the favorite for re-election, although there was polling out there that suggested that FitzGerald – still a relative unknown outside of northeast Ohio – was within striking distance.
Despite being unknown to seven out of 10 Ohio registered voters, Democratic gubernatorial candidate Ed Fitzgerald is gaining on Republican incumbent governor John Kasich, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll.
In the poll, conducted Nov. 19-24, Kasich had 44 percent to FitzGerald’s 37 percent. In June, Kasich held a 14 percentage point lead over FitzGerald, who is the elected Cuyahoga County executive.
Two public opinion polls, taken about two months apart, asking Ohio voters the same question: who would you vote for governor if the 2014 election were held today, Republican incumbent John Kasich or Democratic challenger Ed FitzGerald?
The first one, done by the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute in June, had Kasich leading FitzGerald, the Cuyahoga County Executive, by 14 percentage points – 47 percent to 33 percent. In a poll with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.2 percent, that is a comfortable lead.